Skip to main content

Posts

Showing posts with the label private credit

Cracks in Private Credit Persist | Potential DSO Ripple Effects

Federal prosecutors and the SEC are investigating whether Mark Walter-controlled insurers properly disclosed billions of dollars of investments connected to other Walter-controlled businesses. One insurer reportedly reclassified roughly $16 billion of investments as affiliated , representing about 37% of its invested assets. Why this matters to DSOs 1. The cost of capital for dental acquisitions could rise A huge amount of DSO growth has ultimately been fueled by institutional capital—private equity, private credit, banks, family offices and other alternative lenders. If regulators become more skeptical of private-credit structures, affiliated transactions and leverage , lenders may become more conservative. That could mean: Higher interest rates on DSO acquisition debt Lower leverage multiples More equity required from DSO sponsors More scrutiny of EBITDA adjustments Tougher underwriting of individual dental practices Longer acquisition processes This could be par...

Private Credit | Default Rates on The Rise

 The private credit market is beginning to show real signs of stress — and the implications for the dental profession could be significant. According to Fitch Ratings, U.S. private credit default rates climbed to a record 9.2% in 2025, with the majority of defaults occurring among companies generating $25 million or less in EBITDA.  J.P. Morgan recently modeled that with a 10% default rate and only 20–30% recovery values, total returns for leveraged private credit portfolios can turn negative. Historically, severe stress scenarios look something like this: Scenario Approximate Impact 2–3% defaults     Normal/private credit performs well 5–6% defaults     Stress begins, weaker funds struggle 8–10% defaults     Significant NAV pressure and restructurings 12–15% defaults     Potential wipeout risk for heavily leveraged or poorly underwritten funds Some analysts and UBS stress scenarios have warned that a true recession or AI-driven earnin...