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Showing posts with the label 2025 economy

Yesterday's Historic Equity Market Performance | Where is the US Economy Headed

 ​ As of April 2025, there is growing concern among economists and financial institutions about the possibility of the U.S. economy entering a recession. Goldman Sachs recently increased the probability of a U.S. recession occurring by the end of 2025 to 45%, citing escalating trade tensions and newly imposed tariffs as significant factors contributing to economic uncertainty. ​ Similarly, J.P. Morgan has adjusted its recession forecasts, raising the likelihood of a U.S. recession starting before the end of 2024 to 35%, with a 45% chance by the end of 2025. These adjustments reflect concerns over weakening labor demand and a loss of momentum in global manufacturing. The implementation of new tariffs by the Trump administration has intensified these concerns. President Trump's recent imposition of a 10% baseline tariff on most imports has led to significant market volatility. While the administration temporarily postponed some tariffs following market turmoil, the overall unc...